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This Blog Is Moving

Greetings. After this weekend, this Take Our Country Back Blog will be moving to the new web site. Too many conservatives are getting zapped by the intolerant dweebs of the Obama Goons and seeing that this editing platform is a free site, Blogger can do pretty much what it feels like doing. Hence, I now have a paid site and will be migrating the last 1400+ posts shortly.

So, one day, you just may click this page somewhere and it will show up as "private". It has been fun but the intolerant Czarbie Goon Squads are brain dead idiots. They can come play at the new site which I OWN outright.
Showing posts with label Bradley Affect. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bradley Affect. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Let Not Your Hearts Be Troubled, My Friends


~Snooper~


If you are a member of the Leftinistra, a member of the Armies of the Socialist Liberal, or if you are voting for Czarbie, I don't much care what your heart does. If it were to stop beating, I wouldn't lose any sleep over it. I would more than likely throw a block party so please feel free to let your hate-filled racist heart be troubled.

There is good news. Really. There is. Let go of that defeatist cowardly nonsense, pull up a chair and learn something. And, while you are at it, ignore the polls and run away from anyone that thinks they mean something.

Ace has a Pep Talk:
Time for a pep talk.

Take a breath, folks, it's all going to be okay. I know the polls have looked bad the last few days, but this election isn't over yet.

1. As quickly as things turned sour, things can turn around.
The last week's sudden surge of support for Obama isn't the result of anything his campaign is doing right. Nor is it the fault of McCain doing something wrong. Obama's bump is a result of the sudden shock of economic crisis. Formerly skeptical voters of the yellow dog persuasion are running home to mamma.

You will note that McCain's numbers aren't that bad. His national average is right around where it's always been: 44%. In effect, he's simply lost his convention bump, something that most people were predicting would happen all along. Obama's soaring, but there's no reason to expect his new supporters are all that solid. Things aren't over yet.

2. Today's debate format favors McCain.
Now, I thought McCain was going to bomb during the first debate; that turned out to be wrong. Maybe he'll have trouble tonight, but based on past performance I doubt it. McCain has an amusing tendency to get under Obama's skin whenever they're in the same building. I anticipate that Obama's going to be puffed up on his good press, which will make him extra-sensitive when McCain starts to prick him this evening.

Sure, we expect the so-called "undecided voters" that Gallup is rounding up for this townhall to be center-left, but that type of crowd is actually McCain's type of crowd. The burden is going to be on Obama to distinguish himself from McCain, not the other way around. My greatest worry is that McCain is going to be too centrist for Republican tastes. But, things aren't over yet.

3. McCain is finally, finally on the attack.
I'm glad he's forcing the media to at least mention Obama's connections to Bill Ayers and Fannie/Freddie, even if major news organizations misleadingly shrug it off as "going negative." Too many people are completely ignorant of both. I know you almost don't believe me (and I still can't quite believe it either), but it's true. People who are generally well-informed have no idea that Obama held his inaugural political event at Ayers' house. They have no idea how much money Obama has taken from Fannie/Freddie PACs and individuals. That needs to change.

McCain and his proxies need to remind people that Obama's path to the presidency has been paved by extremists, racists, and crooks like Father Pfleger, Reverend Wright, and Tony Rezko. Sure, everyone has known that stuff since May and it's lost all its force. But it wouldn't hurt to call this to the minds of centrist voters. Contrast the ideal of corruption-fighter Obama with the truth that he took a sweetheart deal from a criminal to buy his house. Contrast the ideal of the post-racial candidate with the truth that he took a pew at the church where refrains of "U.S. of KKK A." are commonplace.

There's still time to turn this around. McCain needs to explain it slowly and without taking a tone. If he gets nasty, people will just say he's having a temper tantrum, the "last gasp" of a dying campaign. That doesn't have to be the case.

Remember, last year at this time McCain was supposed to be finished, too. We have four weeks to go. Let's not give up just yet.
And that isn't all there is...The Campaign Spot has a Pep Talk as well...a few of the points I have already addressed...DAYS ago...
Be of Good Cheer, My Rightie Friends

Reason for good cheer on a Tuesday morning if you're a Republican.

1) If it were a 1996 election, with the perception of "peace and prosperity", Obama would be ahead by 20 percent. Clinton won a solid reelection running on the v-chip for television, school uniforms, curfews for teenagers, cracking down on deadbeat dads, etc. Instead, we're holding an election during two wars and amid one of the greatest economic crises in generations.

The other guys nominated a lawyer/community organizer who's never run anything larger than a Senate office who never served in the military, who's been in the U.S. Senate for less than four years. Our guys nominated a war hero.

How solid is the public's faith in the ability that Obama could manage a crisis?

2) This story, if accurate, is huge and demonstrates how circumstances can change in a New York minute. An American policy in Afghanistan, repeatedly derided as failing, has spurred the Taliban to turn on al-Qaeda? If this pans out, shouldn't this prompt the candidates to revise and extend their assessment of our Afghanistan policy? Doesn't this blow up the "we're losing in Afghanistan because we're distracted in Iraq" argument?

3) Think about what McCain and Palin have had thrown at them this cycle - every Obama ad, every 527 ad, the ubiquitous Obama posters, the "Fact Checks" that don't actually check any facts, the all-out cheerleading from so many corners of the press, etc. There is nothing more that the press could do to help Obama, short of having Keith Olbermann screaming on all channels at all times. And yet McCain and Palin are hanging in there. Sure, Obama's up 5.8 in the RCP average. (Who would have guessed that Zogby, CBS News, and James Carville's Democracy Corps would be showing the smallest lead, each showing 3 percent?) But remember Clinton won by 8 in 1996, and he had the advantage that Perot was splitting the anti-Democratic vote. Newsweek's Evan Thomas once contended that friendly media was worth 15 percent in the polls. With almost everybody in the MSM making an all-out push, they've got their guy up six a month out. This is it, the press's ability to influence the election is spent. A six percent lead is an uphill climb, but very far from insurmountable.

4) Palin brings up William Ayers, and the AP declares it racism. House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank says that criticism of Congress' oversight of the subprime mortgage meltdown is driven by racism. Criticism of Gwen Ifill for not disclosing her book to the Commission on Presidential Debates is, we are told, racism.

I've been very skeptical of the Bradley effect; for a long time, I thought most Americans who don't prefer Obama would just say, "I prefer the other guy." On the other hand, we're in a political environment where criticism of white Democrats is enough to generate cries of racism. The American people see this. They know it's horsepuckey. Heck, the first Saturday Night Live debate sketch depicted Obama promising to play the race card on Kim Jong Il.

In these circumstances, it does seem plausible that white voters could tell a pollster, "yes, I'm voting for Obama, please don't call me racist."

Juan Williams of NPR and Fox News puts the Bradley effect a lot higher than I do. "Obama's got to have a buffer of 5 to 8 percentage points," Williams said. "So if you have a race in which McCain is at, you know, 41, and Obama's at 41, then imagine that really what you're looking at is McCain at 49, Obama at 41."
And there you have it. Stop whining.

Monday, September 15, 2008

Barack Hussein Insane Obama (Czarbie) Is Losing

~Snooper~

Vote this up at Digital Journal...thanks.

Many people have wondered what I mean by Czarbie when I am talking about the DNC selection of Barack Hussein Obama for President of the United States. Czarbie is an acronym for his desire to be First Czar and he looks good thus a Barbie-like image. Thus, Czarbie.

So why is Czarbie tanking so hard? The reasons are many and they have been adding up for quite some time. Is it due to his association with a racist preacher and a black liberation theology hack? Yes. Is it due to his association with William Ayers? Yes. However, it is much deeper than this.

It could be because of the fear that Sarah Palin has struck into the void in the hearts of the Leftinistra such as displayed at Salon.

It could be that McCain-Palin has snatched the "change" mantra away. Or, the swing voters have moved to the McCain-Palin Camp. Or, the BS and lies about the economy sucking has been exposed to be the lie that it is. Or, the enthusiasm for Czarbie has waned. Or, the alleged massive democrat voter thing is a scam. ACORN might have something to do with that. Or, it could be what Don Surber has it boiled down to: (he has it nailed down to 5 things)

1. P
2. A
3. L
4. I
5. N

I think he is onto something. But, let's look at some more possibilities. What about racism? Could that be it? Let's ask Joe Biden, OK?
Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden, campaigning in North Carolina where black votes could help swing the state to the Democrats, said today that electing a black person to the White House would be transformative.

Biden said the policies of running mate Barack Obama make his presidency even more urgent and declared this to be the most important election that any living person has seen in their lifetime. But he particularly singled out the meaning of electing someone who is black.

“That will be a transformative event in American politics and internationally,” Biden said. “That all by itself will be significant.”
Wow! Forget about qualifications and all of that, naturally. The ultra significance of the above statement is indicative of a demented politician. Perhaps it would be a good idea to dump Biden, yes? Could that be it? Was Biden the wrong choice? Not for the GOP or the nation but certainly for the DNC and Czarbie it was indeed. Perhaps this is why Biden himself stated that he was the wrong choice? Such a poser, that. Yes?

I wrote about this yesterday and the piece entitled, Hillary Replacing Joe Biden? UPDATED, can be found here. JWF writes of this also here...
I love the smell of desperation in the morning. This joker thinks all will be well in Obamaland if they just throw Joe Biden overboard now and insert Hillary Clinton in as Barack Obama's VP. As if it's just that simple and all the Democrats who've abandoned the sinking Obama ship will just be happy to jump back on board. [...]
Indeed. The Pirate's Cove on the Biden-Hillary switcheroo...
[...] Oh, boy, Palin has really scared the ever-livin’ shat out of the Left, hasn’t she? Of course, Obama picking one of the Ultimate Washington Insiders as a running mate sure didn’t help. The Surrender Monkey wishes this story came out on Friday, because it is just another case of Dems trying to surrender. [END]
Dems are GREAT at surrendering...aren't they? I do believe that one of the many reasons Czarbie is going down into that Abyss of Obscurity is that he has thrown the Hope and Change thing under a bus...by now his bus must be crowded under there.
It had to happen sooner or later. Once the emptiness of Obama’s “Hope and Change” campaign was realized by the voters, the Democratic candidate for president had precious little substance to fall back on.

Political attacks only resonate if the voter perceives a kernel of truth in them. And the way John McCain has been pounding away at Obama’s non-existent plans for what exactly he would like to accomplish as president, it was bound to have an effect on the polls. [...]
And, while we are at it, just what EXACTLY are Czarbie's plans? Has he revealed those yet or is he just another DNC hack that says things like, "We can do it better than that" without expressing The How? I often wonder why we let these idiots like Czarbie get away with that crap. Perhaps, this time, the American People have said, "ENOUGH!" Mark Penn seems to think so:
[...] Mark Penn, Clinton’s former chief strategist, said: “The media is doing the kinds of stories on Palin that they’re not doing on the other candidates. People are going to conclude that they’re giving her a rougher time. This is an election in which the voters are going to decide for themselves.” [...]
Imagine that? The American People are going to actually decide for themselves and not rely on pollsters and media to make up their minds for them? Can this be? Another reason could be that due to Czarbie's inability to keep his yapper closed when angry or upset because someone - anyone - questions him about anything, he slips up and admits his association(s) with known communists...active ones: (in regards to "refuting" The Obama Nation book)
[...] In the midst of his massive rebuttal to the book, Senator Obama ADMITS his close relationship with Frank Marshall Davis. Of course, he doesn't mention the part about Davis being a Bigshot in the Communist Party of the US. [...]
Woops.
[...] But the 40-page report, advertised and sold to the media as a refutation of Corsi’s “lies,” doesn’t identify Davis as a hard-core communist and it dishonestly edits an article about Davis to eliminate references to his admitted involvement in CPUSA activities and make the black revolutionary writer and “poet” look like a civil rights activist.

In fact, Davis was a secret CPUSA member who continued his involvement in the CPUSA or its front activities into the 1970s, when he met Obama. At this time, Davis was still involved with a CPUSA front organization, the American Committee for Protection of Foreign Born, dedicated to keeping foreign communists such as his friend and associate labor leader Harry Bridges from being deported from the U.S. [...]
Darn the luck. FYI, Black Liberation Theology is identical to the Communist "theology", just in case you didn't know. So we have, a hate-filled racist preacher, a Weather Underground domestic terrorist, a racist for a VP pick, a racist himself, a wife that hated America up until two years ago and still does I am sure and known Communists mentoring him. Oh, yeah...let's not forget about Saul Alinsky. And, ACORN is really causing a stir...seems like no one is allowing them to cheat anymore and it just isn't fair!! Something about bad voter applications or something like that I have been told. And Rezko - a known terrorist sympathizer helping Czarbie with racketeering in real estate...Rezko in prison and Czarbie free. How does that work?

Czarbie also recently admitted that he lies in his campaigns and brags that he is good at it...or was that one of those misspeaks? He has a lot of those you know.
"If we're going to ask questions about, you know, who has been promulgating negative ads that are completely unrelated to the issues at hand, I think I win that contest pretty handily," Obama said.
Could have been a teleprompter being AWOL at the time though. But, that really doesn't matter does it? Either way, he is incapable of coherent off-the-cuff confrontation during a campaign. How can he possibly handle real-time confrontations in life and death situations? He can't. And the American People are catching onto that.

Another reason could be that the DNC Double Standard meme has reared its ugly head and it cannot be covered up. The much hated Karl Rove is now being heralded as a hero because he chastised McCain for "negative ads". What they don't also say is that Rove chastised EVERYBODY for negative ads. However, just quoting Rove as being on Barack's side should give the Leftinistra at least a hint of the omen before them...disaster in November and generations to come. All is lost. Czarbie's MOJO has vanished.

Most of us are saying that the Bradley Affect is in play. We all know it but the Czarbie Camp is sinking in that river called Denial. It could also be due to the lies Czarbie is yammering on about in regards to the economy. Yes, indeed, there is most certainly trouble in the Czarbie Camp.
[...] You did not want to tell yourselves this, but admit it: you saw this coming. It was only a matter of time. A man who wants to be the most powerful man in the world, yet who simultaneously has spent all of his money and energy since June trying to conceal from the electorate at large what he is really about and who he really is. Who doesn't want you to know. Because if a large majority of the American people truly understood who he is and who is behind him, he would be facing a tsunami of Red States. [...]
Bingo. Like I have said since 2006, that Conservative Tsunami is rising and folks are indeed catching on to The Used To Be The One.

The most significant factor in Czarbie's free-fall is his complete and total lack of experience. I have asked many times in the BTR circuits, blogs and forums just what one accomplishment he has done and what one thing qualifies him to be President and all I hear is crickets and charges of racism.

From Lew Waters:
While premature to be calling the election, anything can happen between now and November, it is apparent the selection of Sarah Palin has so unnerved B HO that he has lost his message and failed to regain his stride. [...]
AMEN. We still have work to do and we cannot afford to let up on the pressure. Dems cave under pressure because they are so damned emotional. Keep it up folks. We have a Marxist to defeat.


More obvious reasons why Czarbie is tanking can be located at Memeorandum...

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